Monday, July 15, 2019

WEEK 29 THE OPEN AT ROYAL PORTRUSH

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7 Wins in 7 weeks! Up just under $1200, 48% Gain. Still improving though. Looking to keep reining in the budget each week to increase profit. This is a special week, so I am over budget. Here's why.... 

I covered a lot of favorites in case a low odds winner hits this week. If so, we cover and I hope to see our position bets pay off big. The avg Position bet payoff is $40-$50 this week - up from the avg $25-$30. I don't recommend or plan to continue with large budgets, but feel good about this week. 

This is a course unfamiliar to most players on either tour. This opens up opportunities to the entire field, but also makes it likely that many will struggle.The fescue, undulations, and drop offs will exterminate some great players this week. Rain and wind is also expected most days. Mcilroy, McDowell, Harrington, Shane Lowry and Darren Clarke do have experience on this course.  Rory shot 61 here at age 16.

I feel just as strong about all of the Long Shot 2win bets as the favorites. All of those have performed very well the last few weeks at The Irish, The Scottish, or stateside. I have those in the Position Bets column too. 

A great story this week is Christiaan Bezuidenhout, who after an accidental childhood poisoning, was later banned for using meds that helped him overcome the effects (stuttering and anxiety) of that poisoning. This, in spite of listing the drug on his test questionnaire. The random drug test that initiated the ban took place at Royal PortRush. Love to see him get revenge this week.  Christiaan took down Jon Rahm on the back nine Sunday to win on a difficult course in Spain a few weeks ago, played links the last 2 weeks and shot in the low 60s last Sunday on Links in Scotland last week. I like his chances here this week @300-1. 

Thorbjorn Olesen played well here at the Irish in 2012, he has also been trending with a 15th at the Irish 2 weeks ago. I was also impressed with Benjamin Hebert and Andrea Pavan as runner ups at recent links events the last few weeks. Robert Rock also dominated for a few rounds 2 weeks ago at the Irish Open.

I'm also staying on Cantlay and Xander ( w/ an X ) to possibly win a Major this week. I like the other Zander too, (9th at The Irish) as a great dark horse pick. Also, Pepperell who was 4th at The Irish. 

-Rick Jansen

OPEN BETS
Updated 7/17 7:52 am
























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