Tuesday, August 23, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 34-13 FEDEX FINAL

ANOTHER WINNER!

RORY LIVE $15 10/1 $150

Just a few Longshot Bets on Fedex, Save your Money and Bet Live!


WARNING! B4 YOU BET FEDEX TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP

 WARNING!

Odds at most books factor starting positions. Scheffler (-10) B4 event begins. Longshots begin 7-10 strokes behind. Save your Money and Bet Live! Starting Leaderboard...




Tuesday, August 9, 2022

GOLF BETTING









Things have changed over the years. Online wagering is legal in most states now. This adds a whole new dimension to golf betting - Live Bets. 

Tours

There are 2 main tours I follow. The PGA Tour and The European (Now called DP World Tour).

How to Watch (Set Your DVR)

Most of us do not have time to watch 40 hours of golf every week. Set your DVR and FFWD/PLAY thru the round. Hit PLAY when they show a player you have money on. I can watch 4 hours of golf in about 45 mins that way. 

Note: If you are not recording and following DP world Tour, you are really missing out. Get to know those players and you can watch on DVR over your morning coffee. The commentary is way better than The PGA Tour.

Thu & Friday

Golf Channel on TV 

Wed & Thu Night/Early AM for Euro/DP

Thu & Fri morning or around noon for PGA

Sat & Sunday

Same as Thu & Fri for Euro

Golf Channel around 10am for PGA, then switches to CBS or NBC Network coverage around Noon. 

Note: They often cut away before the end of the round and force you to watch on ESPN online Thu & Friday. They usually continue coverage on Golf Channel online. Go there, click on "Watch" then choose your cable provider to watch for free (no replay available, only live). You can also sign up for ESPN online for coverage of non Golf Channel broadcasts. 

Handicapping

I post free picks w/ stats here and on Twitter each week. I sort thru the entire field and make picks based mostly on (R)ecent Finishes and (H)istory at Event. You'll see those letters next to the picks, or (B)oth is they have both. Check the Legend on my bet sheets for details. 

Budget

Create a budget, based on a weekly amount you can afford to lose. I usually do $60 per tour per week. 

Minimum Wins

Decide what your minimum winning ticket should pay, and wager accordingly. If you're only doing 1 tour, $60 x 4 weeks is $240. So make sure all B4 tickets pay at least $240. 1 win per month and you break even at least. Live bets can pay less $120? 

If you hit 1 B4 Bet $240 and 1 Live Bet $120 or 4 weeks, you made $120 that month. That's 2 weeks budget BTW. 

Strategy

B4 BETS $30

B4 as in Outright Winner Bets before the tourney starts. I still like the opening odds and bet a couple favorites (with only $30 you can only afford 1 or 2 low odds favorites 10-40-1), I spend the balance on longer shots early at big odds. 

Example:

1 for $10 @30/1

5 for $5 @50/1 to 150/1

Total $30

LIVE BETS $30

Live betting requires patience and strategy. I'm still trying to discipline myself - so do what I say, not what I do - LOL. Some online books offer Live Bets or In-Line bets during tourney. Others only have Over-Night wagering after each round. Bovada for instance has In-Line PGA but only Over Night for Euro/DP. In-line is key for Sunday bets. Choose your online book accordingly. If you have no online book, bet $30 per Tour for the same $60.

Live Thu - only looking for a low odds favorite at better odds than they opened at. 

Example:

Jon Rahm Opens @12/1 he tee'd off late and someone took an early lead (-9)

His odds went to 30/1 - you buy him now during the round. If no In-Line, check his odds after the round. 

Note: I post players on Live Watch that should perform well that week. Check that list for live wagers. 

Wait until Friday night after both Early and Late Waves have played for additonal bets.

Live Friday $5 - Keep an eye on low odds favorites and don't blow your wad yet! Pick 1 player at good odds 4 or 5 shots back. 

Live Sat $10 - Moving day just ended. Pick a legit contender a few shots back at good odds. 

Note: If you only have Over Night wagering available, Sat Night is your last chance and you'll spend the rest of your $30 then

Live Sun $15 - Set a reminder on your phone for Noon Sunday and bet someone a few shots back at decent odds. With $15 left, you can find a player 2 strokes back after the front 9 that pays 10/1 = $150 payout and you more than doubled your money that week. 

-Rick Jansen

GOLF PICKS WEEK 32-11 FEDEX (1)

2 B4 BET WINNERS!
PGA - ZALATORIS
LPGA - MAJA STARK

Live Bets




Tuesday, August 2, 2022

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 29

2 WINNERS !

RAMSAY B4 BET $210 AND HIT FINAU LIVE

#Golf Picks @PGATOUR @3MOpen Top Pick Hadwin

@DPWorldTour #CazooClassic Top Pick Ramsay

@LPGA @LETgolf @EvianChamp

High on Linn Grant this week!



Tuesday, June 28, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 26

#Golf Picks 

@PGATOUR @JDCLASSIC

Large Field Low Scoring Event. Short/Long Player Friendly

@DPWorldTour #HorizonIrishOpen

Course Only Played Recently Last Yr. History Stats based on that. Slight Advantage Early Wave Thursday only. 



Tuesday, June 21, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 25

#Golf Picks No Weather Advantage this week either tour. 

@PGATOUR @TravelersChamp

 Brendan Steele 80/1 3 Top 10s Recent, 6th here 2019

@DPWorldTour #bmwinternationalopen 

Heavy Rain. Thorbjorn Olesen 60/1 2 2nds at this event.



Tuesday, June 14, 2022

WEEK 24 US OPEN 2022

#Golf Picks #usopengolf @PGATOUR @DPWorldTour @USGA @GolfChannel

Notes next to Names. Early Wave Blue, Late Red. Top 20s At Brookline 2013 US Am: Fitz, Conners, Schef, Xander. Sergio Top Scorer 1999 @rydercup. + Mass Locals. Weather and Course Stat Rankings (bottom)

View Magnify



Tuesday, June 7, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 23

 #Golf Picks (BIG WEEK 3 TOURNEYS!)

@PGATOUR @RBCCanadianOpen

@DPWorldTour #VolvoScandinavianMixed

@LPGA @LETgolf Men vs Women (different tees)

@LIVGolfInv  #London





Tuesday, May 24, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 21

 @PGATOUR @CSChallengeFW

 Ryan Palmer is a member at Colonial. Spieth is my Top Pick, but at 12/1 waiting to bet him live at better odds.

@DPWorldTour #DutchOpen2022

Last yr at same course, prior was other venues. (H)istory/(B)oth on sheet is from this course.



Tuesday, May 17, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 20 - PGA CHAMP

 #Golf Picks @PGATOUR @PGAChampionship

Crazy week! 6th wk of of our 5 wk month. All in!

Caution: Course last played in 2007. Heavy wind every day, Shaved Greens. Expect MCs <[Live bets preferred]. 

Picks:

Top 20s 2007

Recent Top 10s

OK Locals

Good in Wind

Hot on Euro

4 Latins-Due



Tuesday, May 10, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 19 2022

 #Golf Picks

@PGATOUR @ATTByronNelson

Good value on trending players with top 10s and 20s on this course 2021. 

@DPWorldTour #SoudalOpen 

Odds suck, but found some good value in players who played well on this specific course in 2019. 





Tuesday, April 19, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEK 16-2022

#Golf Picks

(Doubles) Bez playing with Schwartzel (4th last yr and good at Masters.) Only 2 bets, save $ for Live Sat Night if at all. Lotta contenders at Good value. $20 Live on hand.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Golf Bank

We're off to a good starts with a win wk 1. Avg Budget $30 B4, $30 Live = $60 per Tour. Win $168 = 2 wks free + $48. The plan is to double the bank after the 1st 5 wk month and then make a $100 big ticket bet once per week between the 2 tours.




 

Wednesday, April 13, 2022

GOLF PICKS WEEEK 15 -2022

WINNER LIVE JORDAN SPIETH! $168

Follow Live Bets @  https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip

 #Golf Picks

NEW GOLF BANK! Last 6 wks have been brutal courses with stars missing the cut. This week its scorable but very strong field. 17 players have good history at event & recent top 10s. Save money for live bets!

. Note: Actually a $40 balance for Big Ticket to total $120  


 

Tuesday, April 5, 2022

GOLF PICKS WK 14 THE MASTERS

#Golf Picks Bezuidenhout hit most fwys and greens last year. New on PGA, playing courses he does not know. He knows #Augusta. He can contend here! Go

Live Bets Sat Night and Sunday Back 9 if needed.