Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

GOLF PICKS RSM and DP WORLD

RSM
Thomas Howell never wins., but sets up nice this week. 
Chappell still looking for his first.  
Luke List and Si Woo Kim hot as hell. 
Kirk a Pricey heavy favorite for good reason. 

DP WORLD
Mollinari and Sullivan Own this place.
Can Noren beat up on the Big Kids this week with Rory and Stenson playing? 
Canizares good recent and Event stats! He's Sooo Due! 
Like Wang from last week

Jacqueline Good recent and Event stats at 200-1 

 

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

GOLF PICKS SHRINERS AND TURKISH AIRLINES

TURKISH
GREAT ODDS ON SOME GREAT PLAYERS!
HEND OWNS THAT PLACE AS A FAVORITE 
BLAND Overdue

SHRINERS 
STAYING ON FATHAUER, HAHN & LOVERMARK 
PIERCY A SOLID FAVORITE THERE



Wednesday, October 26, 2016

GOLF PICKS HSBC and SANDERSON 2016

Going Big on 2 Players this week. 
$30 on Noren and $20 on Bohn could pay your mortgage this month. 
No Guarantees - But like them both a lot.

HSBC
(Alex Noren 50-1) arguably the best Player in the World right no is undervalued at 50-1 (Will Hill) 

(Young Han Song 250-1) has like 7 top 10s in a row on the Asian Tour  HSBC is in In China.
There are half a dozen other players at great odds including a few Asian Players that are red hot. (See below)

Sanderson
(Jason Bohn 60-1) has 3 top 10s including 2 Runner Ups in his last 4 outings here.  
Warning, he has only played 4 times in 10 weeks, and Missed the cut 4 or 4?
This is a weak post season field is full of recent missed cuts though.

Kirk and Kizzire are Hot but Pricey Favorites. 
Martin Flores 60-1 12th last week, 3rd Last yr.
Peter Malnati 50-1 and Wise 80-1 may be worth a $5 bet as long shots


Wednesday, October 5, 2016

GOLF PICKS ALFRED DUNHILL 2016

Big on a Few Fav's this week:
Fleetwood
Weisberger
Lowry

Some guys we've been following
Richard Bland
Ross fisher
Andrew (Beef) Johnson
Canizares 
Dredge
Lipsky

Some Great Longshots!
Lagergren
Bertasio
Oliver Fisher
Richard Green

TOP 30 STATS AND OUR PICKS
(Click, Right Click - View Image, Magnify)





Tuesday, September 20, 2016

GOLF PICKS TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP AND PORSCHE

SOME GREAT ODDS ON REAL CONTENDERS

NOTE ON PORSCHE
Jake Roos kind of trending, he won on this track 2 yrs ago 400-1!



Tuesday, September 13, 2016

GOLF PICKS ITALIAN OPEN 2016

Post
____________________________

6 WINNERS IN 7 WEEKS!
 







Note: Anything 30-1 and under is usually a $10 bet. But it was a nice cover. 


Pregame
____________________________ 

No PGA this week. 
So set your DRV on Wed night to the Golf Channel for early Thursday - Sunday morning. They broadcast anywhere from 1am to 7am.

Warning: Martin Kaymer 12-1  has 2 top 20s and a top 10 coming in. He was runner up last year. (see top 3 bottom of page) I cant afford him a those odds. If you can - he's a legit favorite.

Some great value on the Euro PGA. Lipsky 60-1 has been trending and was 3rd last year. Bjerregard 100-1 finished 24th last week and was 3rd there last year too.

Scott Hend 30-1
has been beating on the door with back to back top 5s. He's a must cover. 

Zanoti, Colsaerts, Molinari, Van Zyl and Manaessero have a good history here.  

I also staying on trending players looking to break through like

Dredge, Langren, Haotong, Canizares, and Oliver Fisher. 

OUR PICKS




TOP 30

 

Wednesday, September 7, 2016

GOLF PICKS BMW AND KLM 2016



5 WINNERS IN 6 WEEKS!
Our Top Pick Joost Luiten (below) Wins KLM!
_____________________

BMW


















KLM





Wednesday, July 13, 2016

GOLF PICKS BRITISH OPEN 2016

LIVE UPDATES
https://twitter.com/rickonthestrip  

OUR BET SHEET


TOP RANKED PART 1 (View Image Magnify)






































TOP RANKED PART 2 (View Image Magnify)


Wednesday, July 6, 2016

GOLF PICKS Scottish Open and US Womens Open

WINNER! NOREN!

TOP PICK!
Raphael Jacqueline 
With 2 Top 10s in his last 3 outings and 5 top 10s, including 3 top 3s - at the Scottish Open - Love him at 100-1. 

Also, staying on:
Lucas Bjerregaard
@200-1 online he will break the glass sooner or later. 

Some other great odds locally and online (below).
Note: Also covered 3 Mid- Favorites:
Russell Knox (30-1) Noren(40-1) and Colsaerts (40-1)

US WOMENS OPEN
Gerrina Piller 
@50-1 online She is overdue for her first win.  





Tuesday, June 21, 2016

GOLF PICKS QUICKEN LOANS, BMW INTL, LPGA

LPGA
PILLER 28-1
IS OVERDUE!

QUICKEN
GOOD VALUE ON PLAYER TRENDING AND DUE FOR FIRST WIN (SEE CHART)

BMW
STAYING ON BJERREGAARD TIL HE WINS!
GOOD VALUE ON PLAYER TRENDING AND DUE FOR FIRST WIN (SEE CHART)

 

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

GOLF PICKS THE US OPEN 2016

We ranked the entire field by Recent Finishes (Recent) and Performance at US Opens (History). I threw in how they finishes the last time the PGA played Oakmont in 2007 (This Course) for the few that were there and Driving Accuracy (DA) ranks for most of the big names.  See Chart (Below)

Favorites
Like DJ, Day, Mcilroy and Fowler are expensive threats. 

Of those only 

Spieth, Rory, and Fowler

are ranked under 150th in Driving Accuracy. Open conditions still make luck a bigger factor in these opens that it should be. So, pick one Favorite under 10-1 for $50 so you can still cover some great value from the rest of the field. My fund manager from 2015 still recommends Spieth.

Matt Kuchar 40-1
Ranked highest overall. Not only is he top 5 in Recent and History and 28th in DA.  He is top 50 or better in every stat other than Driving Distance. The big question is can he close? Kuchar has been pronounced Choker at the end of a lot of tourneys. But at 40-1 he's an affordable must cover.

Jordan Spieth 7-1
has has been missing fairways all year. He cant make up for that scrambling in this rough. However, he is currently 93rd in DA hitting a little over 60% of fairways. that along with his course management skills make him the top pick for me and the bookmakers

Henrik Stenson 40-1
is 9th in DA, has played well at opens and was 4th 2 weeks ago, He is a solid value at 40-1.

Russel Knox
He is due to win and 8th in DA. Something about this guy just screams winner to me.  
At 100-1 I'll spend $10 not $5 on him. 

Grey Beards
Like David Toms 5th here in 2007and currently 21st in DA have or at great odds 400-1. I'll throw 5 on him and Cabrerra - Not trending but still long and 1st here in 2007.

Oakmont 2007
featured a few players in the field this week worth consideration. Her is a list of those who finished well there. 

Bubba Watson 
Justin Rose
*David Toms
Paul Casey
Jim Furyk
Angel Cabrera

In The Fairway
With Penal Rough, Driving Accuracy is a must this week. Here at the players currently ranked highest in that stat playing this week

*1st Thomas Aiken
6th  Hicks
7th Grillo
8th  Knox
13th McDowell
15th Lingmerth
16th Hurley
19th Kisner
20th Herman
*21st Toms
23rd Spencer Levin

Across the Pond
Euro players have been trending in the states are there are several worth some coin.


*Thomas Aiken
Branden Grace
Andrew Johnston
Sulivan
Kjeldson
Shane Lowry
Martin Kaymer

LongShots
There are dozens. With odds as high as 2000-1 a $5 bet could get lucky and make your year.
I'll take a couple of those too.


FULL FIELD STATS
(View Image Magnify
or View at https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip 
Total Rank is combined rank for Recent and Open Finishes

PART 1  


PART 2


MY FINAL BET SHEET










Thursday, June 9, 2016

GOLF PICKS ST JUDE AND LYONESS

LYONESS

BJERRREGAARD
DUNNE
L JENSEN
DE LA RIVA
BROBERG
YANG
STAL
DINWIDDIE
T VAN DER WALT
GOYA 

ST JUDE

REIFERS
STEELE
CURRAN (2ND LAST WEEK)
VARNER
SWAFFORD
PILLER
CEJKA
BLAIR
BOHN
MERRITT (2ND LAST YEAR)



Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

GOLF PICKS THE PLAYERS

$100 JORDAN SPIETH @10-1

You could make the case that 4 weeks without a competitive round will leave him a little short. A Top 10 here would be a respectable finish and quiet the critics. Many claim his collapse at Augusta could be too deep a scar to heal this quickly.  

You could also make the case that he is too short and his overall stats are too average to ever be one of the all time greats. Many did, prior to his meteoric rise that started at the end of a winless season in Australia. 12 months later, he had won 2 majors and the FedEx Cup.

As I suspected, while Fowler and others were playing last week - Jordan was been camped out at The Players a week ahead. There is no substitute for preparation. 

A pregame tongue slip in the NFL often provides locker room fuel for a 10-1 underdog. I Jordan at 10-1 this week for that very reason. If you want Spieth to do something, just tell him he can't. 

Press Conference:
In response to questions regarding the effects of his loss at The Masters:

"I think people moved on already, at least I thought so until I came in here today."  

[ If you look at Augusta glass half full - he had a 5 shot lead at The Masters - no one else in the field this week can put that on their resume.]

Those who fail to pick him this week - may wish the media had kept it's mouth shut. If he does fall just short - double your bet the next time he plays. Last year, money on Spieth outperformed most mutual funds. 

Jordan's response to the media's concerns this week was defensive, dismissive, and in one case symbolic. A picture paints a thousand words. 


My best guess is that Justin Thomas or some buddy of his was razzing him for missing a put during practice on Tuesday at The Players

- Rick Jansen


OTHER PICKS

JAMIE LOVEMARK
BEN HUN AN
MARTIN KAYMER
ZACH JONSON
DUFNER
BERGER
STEELE
BELLO 

AfraAsia

OTTO 30-1
JAEGER 125-1 

.

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

GOLF PICKS WELLS, TROPHEE, LPGA

WELLS

TOP PICKS

LOVEMARK 40-1
DECHAMBEAU 50-1
VARNER 125-1
STEELE 100-1
DANNY LEE 75-1

ALSO

BERGER
THOMAS
KOKRAK
RODGERS

GOOD LONGSHOTS 125+

OHAIR
DONALDSON
SCHNEIDERJ
F MOLINARI
STUARD

TROPHEE

TOP PICKS

MANASERO 100-1

ALSO

QUIROS
JACQUELIN
WEBSTER
GREEN
WALTERS

(QUESNE AND CANIZARES ARE HOT BUT LOW ODDS)

LPGA

PILLER - BUT ODDS TOO LOW 6.5-1 NOT A GOOD VALUE
B LANG 50-1

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

GOLF PICKS ZURICH, VOLVO AND LPGA


ZURICH

LOVEMARK

BERGER
WEEKLY
SI WOO KIM
RODGERS
BOHN
SENDEN
NICK TAYLOR 
MORGAN HOFFMAN
VARNER
LANGLY

VOLVO

BJERREGAARD
HEND
QUESNE
HATTON
RAMSAY
UILEIN

SLATTERY
QUIROS
DREDGE

LPGA

PILLER

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

GOLF PICKS VALERO, SHENZEN AND LPGA

VALERO

TOP 5
Jason Kokrak 
Charley Hoffman 
Billy Horschel 
Dechambeau 
Daniel Summerhays 

Chris Kirk 
Ryan Palmer 
Fredrik Jacobson 
Bryce Molder 
Aaron Baddeley 
Patrick Rodgers 
Kyle Reifers 
George McNeill 
Chesson Hadley 
Scott Pinckney 

 
SHEN ZEN
BJERREGAARD
QUESNE
UIHLEIN
RUMFORD
BLAND
QUIROS
LIPSKY


LPGA
PILLER 
Q BAEK




Wednesday, April 13, 2016

RBS HERITAGE and OPEN DE ESPANA

RBC
I'm High on Lovemark - who's come inches from a win several times this season
Fitzy is a solid favorite along with Kisner 
Throwing $20 on DeChambeau @ 50-1

Not a lot of Big Names this week - You may want to cover some Talented LongShots Online @ Great Odds.

OPEN DE ESPANA
I'm staying On Bjerreegaard.

Several others at good odds with a good chance to win 
Too many serious contenders to isolate just one.   

 

 

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

GOLF PICKS THE MASTERS 2016

This years Master's seems to have snuck up on us. Last year we all had a favorite. This year it feels like anybody's game. 


I like Spieth - If - he can start Hitting Fairways and get his Proximity to the Hole back inside 10 or 15 feet. You can't count on 25 ft puts to win the Masters. Those undulating greens will reward shots close to the pin.

Top Picks

Spieth
Fowler
Stenson
Danny Willett
Zach Johnson
De Chambeau

To handicap The Masters - you have too look at who plays well there, and who's trending. 
See the Chart below for (History) at this Event and (Recent) Finishes.
 
Full Field and Picks
(Left Click then View Image Magnify)



Wednesday, March 30, 2016

GOLF PICKS SHELL HOUSTON & LPGA ANA INSPIRATION

Going Big on Jordan Spieth. 

He played 3 rounds on Fire last week and lost here in a playoff last year. He's at Home in Texas. Only 5.5 -1, so I went big $200. Go Jordan!

Other Top Picks

J Lovemark   75-1
Tringale 75-1
Jacobson 100-1
Alex Cejka 125-1

Also @ Good Odds

K Bradley 50-1
S Piercy 60-1
D. Berger 60-1
P Rodgers 100-1
R. Henley 100-1
 
 LPGA (Poppy's Pond)


Gerina Piller

 


x

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

WGC DELL MATCH PLAY / PUERTO RICO OPEN

I like Spieth to quiet the Nay Sayers and perform well in Texas.
He was a Great investment last year - Sticking with Him $100 @ 10-1 

Warning:
Match Play is a crap shoot.
So - I also like Super Talented longshots from Europe at 100-1 Plus.



Thursday, March 17, 2016

GOLF PICKS ARNOLD PALMER AND HERO INDIAN OPEN

ARNOLD PALMER
Going Big on Bryson De Chambeau
Mainly because he is due to win sooner or later and @ 150-1
Warning - his longer wedges may present problems for him in the thick Rough.
I like that his 7-3 are all the length of a 7 Iron
Make his 8, 9 and Wedge longer too - makes no sense to me.

Lots of good value on others too.


HERO INDIAN OPEN
Staying on a trending Peter Uihlein for his 2nd win.

Little know Siddikur Rahman  has like 10 top 10s in a Row here. Like him @ 60-1























ARNOLD PALMER
(Online Bovada) Pays Top 10 Finish