Wednesday, July 4, 2018

WEEK 33 (LIVE BET TEST)

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@RickOnTheStrip

I am always looking to improve our betting strategy. This holiday weekend we are trying a live bet test (separate from our normal bank). In this strategy we save about half our funds for after the cut. I am posting 2 separate tests this week for both tours.

FAVORITES VS LONGSHOTS!

FavoriteBank
This makes sense mathematically, because favorites in the running could go to 3-1 fast. Also, medium and longshots bets should only fall to around 30-1. The risk here is missing a big payoff on a longshot that takes the lead early. 



 


















LongShotBank
This does leave us vulnerable if a low odds favorite runs away with it early. It could also save us a lot of money on favorites that do not show up. We may add a few favorites early as we go along. I'll be checking odds and adding bets on Bovada.com Friday after the cuts. We'll just have to see how it works? 


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