18 WINS IN 25 WEEKS 72%!
We take the best Golf Win/Loss record in the world into a fresh new bank next week. 2 wins per tour over our next 5 week month and we are on our way to building a fat bank. Average spend $70 per week per tour.
ALERT! NO BANK THIS WEEK!
I handicapped everything this week. However, PGA is not at normal venue and is a links course. Also Odds suck. EURO is a crazy mix of Stroke and Match Play. In summary, this week is slanted heavily toward the book. I do like the picks - Just not gonna start a new bank on what could be a sucker bet week. New Bank Starts Next Week!
PGA
I'm not super excited about Byron Nelson this week. Not a lot of big names and the odds suck. A weak field does open the door for some players at good odds, but It is being payed at new (Links) course, and there is a ringer in the mix. With he Doomsday clock at 2 minutes to midnight, 5-1 are the kinds of odds you should get for the sun coming up tomorrow, but Jordan Spieth @ 5-1 is a member and his longtime mentor Ben Crenshaw designed the course. He is still struggling with short puts and over the last 3 weeks only has a 41st and a missed cut, but he does have 2 top 10s without a win in his last 6, so he is also due for a win. Jordan has paid better than most mutual funds and he looks like a safe investment this week. Beau Hossler is also a member and due to break through on tour. So, $50 on Spieth @5-1, $8 on Hossler @33-1, and that leaves $12 (Out of a $70 Budget). Marc Leishman @25-1 can dominate and plays well on links courses, so $10 on him. Daniel Summerhays @100-1 comes in with back to back top 10s, I'll take him for $2.50. Peter Uihlein @60-1 is coming off a 5th and is a solid links player, looking to break through on the PGA after years on the Euro Tour. I'll borrow a couple bucks from the OTHER bank and put $5 on him this week.
EURO
I am even less excited about another goofy format in Europe. Stroke play changes to match play that last 2 rounds in this one and makes it a dicey bet. Don't get me wrong, love the Euro Tour and what they do for the fans, like Beat the Pro, but the match play is usually not a good bet. We do have some hot trending players I will stay on this week though, and hope another one breaks though like Lagergren last week.
CHECKLIST ADDED
There
will always be winners from time to time that are on no ones radar. A
couple of those one last month Kodaira 250-1 and Landry 200-1, making
the average winner odds on the PGA tour over the last 5 weeks 100-1.
Nothing you can do about that. However, I have several sets of data I
pull picks from each week. I missed Bjork and Simpson last month. I now
have a checklist to make sure every set is checked, every week.
This Weeks Picks
GOLF BANK BETS
No comments:
Post a Comment