Wednesday, June 15, 2016

GOLF PICKS THE US OPEN 2016

We ranked the entire field by Recent Finishes (Recent) and Performance at US Opens (History). I threw in how they finishes the last time the PGA played Oakmont in 2007 (This Course) for the few that were there and Driving Accuracy (DA) ranks for most of the big names.  See Chart (Below)

Favorites
Like DJ, Day, Mcilroy and Fowler are expensive threats. 

Of those only 

Spieth, Rory, and Fowler

are ranked under 150th in Driving Accuracy. Open conditions still make luck a bigger factor in these opens that it should be. So, pick one Favorite under 10-1 for $50 so you can still cover some great value from the rest of the field. My fund manager from 2015 still recommends Spieth.

Matt Kuchar 40-1
Ranked highest overall. Not only is he top 5 in Recent and History and 28th in DA.  He is top 50 or better in every stat other than Driving Distance. The big question is can he close? Kuchar has been pronounced Choker at the end of a lot of tourneys. But at 40-1 he's an affordable must cover.

Jordan Spieth 7-1
has has been missing fairways all year. He cant make up for that scrambling in this rough. However, he is currently 93rd in DA hitting a little over 60% of fairways. that along with his course management skills make him the top pick for me and the bookmakers

Henrik Stenson 40-1
is 9th in DA, has played well at opens and was 4th 2 weeks ago, He is a solid value at 40-1.

Russel Knox
He is due to win and 8th in DA. Something about this guy just screams winner to me.  
At 100-1 I'll spend $10 not $5 on him. 

Grey Beards
Like David Toms 5th here in 2007and currently 21st in DA have or at great odds 400-1. I'll throw 5 on him and Cabrerra - Not trending but still long and 1st here in 2007.

Oakmont 2007
featured a few players in the field this week worth consideration. Her is a list of those who finished well there. 

Bubba Watson 
Justin Rose
*David Toms
Paul Casey
Jim Furyk
Angel Cabrera

In The Fairway
With Penal Rough, Driving Accuracy is a must this week. Here at the players currently ranked highest in that stat playing this week

*1st Thomas Aiken
6th  Hicks
7th Grillo
8th  Knox
13th McDowell
15th Lingmerth
16th Hurley
19th Kisner
20th Herman
*21st Toms
23rd Spencer Levin

Across the Pond
Euro players have been trending in the states are there are several worth some coin.


*Thomas Aiken
Branden Grace
Andrew Johnston
Sulivan
Kjeldson
Shane Lowry
Martin Kaymer

LongShots
There are dozens. With odds as high as 2000-1 a $5 bet could get lucky and make your year.
I'll take a couple of those too.


FULL FIELD STATS
(View Image Magnify
or View at https://twitter.com/RickOnTheStrip 
Total Rank is combined rank for Recent and Open Finishes

PART 1  


PART 2


MY FINAL BET SHEET










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