GOLF PICKS HERO, NEDBANK, AUSTRAILIAN PGA

POSTGAME
We were on the right track this week. No Winners - But 5 Top 10s. (See R4 Below)
I've said before we will focus more on Top 10 bets next year.
I'm just exploring the best odds and betting strategy for those. 

Looking for Value this week - not favorites - with the exception of Spieth.

PREGAME
(CLICK TO ENLARGE)

I put $5 on Hendry at Nippon Japan 200-1 


ROUND 2

ROUND 3

ROUND 4 

(R43) Hendry finished like T20 or something at Nippon T20  

GOLF PICK AUSTRALIAN OPEN AND ALFRED DUNHILL

THIS WEEKS TOP PICKS BOXED IN BLUE

AUSTRALIAN OPEN
Spieth started his run to fame here last year. The Aussie fans are the most positive and supportive on tour. Jordan has a good chance of running away with this one. But - he has not played for a while and - at what amounts to the odds you get on a close boxing match +175 - too rich for my blood. 

Bryson Dechambeau shot 6 under last week in Australia to finish 2nd. He's still there and is the NCAA Singles Champion as well as the US Amateur Champion. I like his chances 

#1 BRYSON DECHAMBEAU  
(BEST ODDS IN VEGAS SILVER 7s or any "William Hill" 40-1 )
also
#2 
BRETT RUMSFORD  
(TOP 5 HERE LAST YEAR AT GOOD ODDS 40-1)

ALFRED DUNHILL  
I've been on Lucas Bjerregaard every week since I discovered him in the stats about a month ago. He already went head to head vs Justin Rose and lost by a stroke. Lucas has come a stroke away from winning - twice in he last 3 or 4 weeks. I'm on him Big this week!

#1 PICK 
BJERREGAARD
(BEST ODDS IN VEGAS WESTGATE 20-1 )
also
#2 
JACO VAN ZYL  
(SHOT SUPER LOW A FEW WEEKS BACK - 25-1)

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GOLF PICKS DP RSM LPGA

WINING!

Our top pick comes through - Running away with it by 6 strokes!
Congrats Keven Kisner. 

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RSM
Keven Kisner and Fathauer was my top pick - Kisner has a 3 shot lead for his first win?
Went hard on him $40 at 20-1. Go Kevin! 
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LPGA 
YANI TSENG
Piller was not on the sheets in Vegas - she is 3 off with one Round left. Ouch - hate to miss her first win?

DP 

Chris Wood

Lucas Bjerregaard

Jamie Donaldson

Joost Luiten

Julien Quesne

Thongchai Jaidee

Thorbjorn Olesen

Jaco Van Zyl

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Lee Westwood

RSM Will MacKenzie  Brendon de Jonge  Kevin Kisner  Chris Kirk  Russell Henley  Mark Wilson  Hudson Swafford  Andrew Loupe  Shawn Stefani  Derek Ernst  Jason Kokrak  Roberto Castro  Justin Thomas  Brice Garnett  Scott Pinckney  Michael Putnam  Patrick Rodgers  Seung-yul Noh  Vaughn Taylor  Dawie Van Der Walt  Harold Varner III  Derek Fathauer  Spencer Levin  Harris English

GOLF PICKS BMW MASTERS, MAYAKOBA, LPGA

BMW MASTERS
Bjerreegaard back in the field this week after a shootout with Justin Rose 2 weeks ago. I would not be surprised if both go at it again. Staying on Woods, Olesen, Zanotti and Fitzpatrick. Also Jaco Van Zyl now - after a stellar performance 2 weeks ago and Justin Rose who has plays well here. Ross Fisher was 3rd last week and 2nd here last year. 

FULL FIELD 
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MAYAKOBA
Once again - the cats are away and young guns like Rodgers, Loupe, Varner, As Wegen have another shot this week at their first win. Hot solid players like Brendan Steele and Jason Bohn are must covers. Last weeks runner ups have a shot and Alex Cejka 16th last week and 16th last yr is worth a couple bucks at 60-1.

FULL FIELD
(LEFT CLICK TO ENLARGE)

LPGA LORENA OCHOA
I'm staying on Yani Tseng, Gerina Piller and Brittany Lang (33-1) until they win. Can't find Yani in the field, but Gerina is (40-1). I am back on Q Beak (125-1) as well. Last year I liked Lizzette Salas (50-1) in Mexico - why not again this year.

GOLF PICKS SANDERSON FARMS WGC HSBC

THIS WEEKS PICKS
(CLICK, LEFT CLICK, VIEW IMAGE, MAGNIFY TO ENLARGE)

GOLF PICKS CIMB AND TURKISH AIRLINES 2015

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WINNER!
 

PREGAME____________________________________

There are other player with a chance to win this week Andy Sullivan etc. 
Stenson always a threat - but has never played this tourney. 
I'm going to dance with the girls we came with this month.
Hoping one of those 2nds becomes a first this week. 

That includes Kevin Na who is by far my favorite to Win at CIMB.

Gonna stay on young guns Thomas and Berger - until they get their first win.

Lahiri has been hot as hell and De Jonge is trending with a good history here - for his long awaited fist win. 

There are also 4 or 5 longshots on the list - all of these are trending Hot now and or have played well at CIMB in the last 3 years.  

I am staying on a Hot  Chris Woods and Bjerregaard along with a trending Zanotti at Turkish Airlines

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GOLF PICKS SHRINERS, HONG KONG

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POSTGAME

SHRINER'S OPEN
Another 2nd. This bridesmaid is gonna find a good movie to watch now. See you next week
 

 
  

 




 
HONG KONG OPEN

SATURDAY
WOW! If you missed the Hong Kong Open this morning - you missed the best head to head round played all year on any tour. Lucas Bjerregaard went toe to toe with Justin Rose. Rose went bogie free and needed 2 Eagles just to keep up with Bjerregaards near perfect 7 Under. This guy was leading a tourney a not too long ago and shot a final day 89!  It's taken a while for him to recover. Lets hope he can hang on - I found him capping this event and we have him $20 at 40-1 $820 on the line in the early morning on Golf Channel.

SUNDAY
On the Final Day - Justin Rose started strong taking an early 1 shot lead. 
Bjerregaard caught him. Then Rose blinked, a lip out dropped him to (-15). Bjerregaard attacked and flew by him with a 2 shot lead to (-17)

On 14 Bjerregaard put one in the trees. A decent recovery shot left him with about a 4 footer for Bogey. He missed and before you know it - Justin Rose had a 2 shot lead going into 18. 

On the Par 4 18th - Bjerregaard could have pulled driver but did not - he was on the green in 2 but with a 50 ft birdie put. Rose had 20 ft for his birdie and left it 10 feet short. Rose would Bogey and win by 1. A Birdie on 18 would have forced a Playoff and potentially a Hollywood ending to this Cinderella story.

With a $20 ticket on Bjerregaard that would have paid $800 at 40-1 - I was disappointed. But I got my monies worth. What a thrill and what great golf - Best I've seen all year. Lucas played an amazing tournament as did Rose. 1 bad shot for Lucas in 2 days cost him everything. Pretty brutal price to pay. However, I believe he has a bright future ahead and we will stay on this kid.

You're Back Lucas! Keep the Faith! I am and will be buying your stock the next time your name is on the bet sheets in Vegas. 

 











NOTE: THIS IS OUR 4TH 2ND PLACE FINISH IN 7 DAYS. NEXT YEAR THOSE WILL BE WINNING TICKETS - AS WE IMPLEMENT OUR TOP 10 FINISH BETTING. (SEE PREVIOUS POST)

We still have 42 yr old Jason Bohn -  3 off the lead here at Shriner's. Go Jason!
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PREGAME

HOT TEAM  (Players we need to stay on currently)
Some were off the sheets in LV this week but are playing Shriner's*

For Newbies:
Get your bets in by WED NOON. Most Tourney's start early Thursday. Euro late Wed
Local Vegas Books - Westgate, Silver 7s. MGM and others. 
Outside Nevada Online:  Bovada and many others. 

PGA
Patrick Rodgers
Will Wilcox
Kyle Reifers
Justin Thomas
*Loupe
*Van Aswegen
*Varner
Jason Bohn
Daniel Berger
Bryson De Chambeau
Ollie Schiederjans
* Alex Prugh 
Lahiri
Martin Piller 
Swafford
*Langley
*Sam Saunders
*Derek Ernst
Scott Pinckney
*Dawie Van Der Walt
Fathauer
 
Euro
Fitzpatrick (1 win)
BJERREGAARD
Chris Wood
De La Riva

Zannotti
Oliver Fisher
Oleson (1 win)

Hatton

Richard Green
Slattery (1 win)



LPGA
Tseng
Piller
Amy Yang
Lang


THIS WEEK_____________________

HONG KONG

SOME GREAT SLEEPERS
BJERREGAARD
OLIVER FISHER
MULROY
DE SILVA


FAVORITES 
LAHIRI
HORSEY
LIPSKY
UIHLEIN

SHRINERS

IN  ORDER 
JASON BOHN 
PATRICK RODGERS
WILCOX
REIFERS
MOORE
FINAU
SWAFFORD

LPGA
TSENG
AMY YANG